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Premier League: Black Cats are Hoping It’s Not Too Late to Join Europe

Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest

Sunderland will host Nottingham Forest at the Stadium of Light on Friday in the 34th matchday of the 2025-26 Premier League campaign, and there’s a lot at stake for these two teams. The hosts are fighting for European qualification, while the visitors are battling for survival in the top-flight.

Regis Le Bris’ men saw their two-game winning streak end at the hands of Aston Villa, following a 4-3 loss at Villa Park last time out. As a result, Sunderland are 11th in the English top-flight table with 46 points, but are only three points adrift of seventh-seeded Bournemouth for the Europa Conference League berth.

On the other hand, Nottingham Forest are building momentum under head coach Vitor Pereira. The Tricky Trees are unbeaten in their last seven games across all competitions, improving to 16th, and they’re also deep into the Europa League, having eliminated Porto in the quarter-finals.

 

Talking Points

Sunderland suffer defensive blow

As mentioned, Sunderland notched a 4-3 loss to Aston Villa last weekend. To make matters worse, the Black Cats lost one of their key players to injury, as Omar Alderete was forced off the field in the 63rd minute due to a knock. Daniel Ballard replaced Alderete, and Sunderland tried to make a comeback, but Tammy Abraham’s stoppage-time goal dashed their hopes of stealing three points at Villa Park.

Sunderland have yet to confirm whether Alderete is good to go against Nottingham Forest. If the Paraguayan centre-back remains out, Ballard will likely replace him, and the 26-year-old will join Luke O’Nien, Nordi Mukiele, and Reinildo Mandava in the back four, with Robin Roefs as the goalkeeper. Lutsharel Geertruida is another option since he took the day off against the Villans.

Alderete is faring well in his debut campaign in the Premier League. This term, he has logged 286 defensive contributions for the Black Cats, including 29 tackles, 30 interceptions, 27 blocked shots, 94 recoveries, and 200 clearances for eight clean sheets. He also has one goal and one assist thus far.

Besides Alderete, Sunderland could also be without Simon Moore, Romaine Mundle, Jocelin Ta Bi, Bertrand Traore, and Nilson Angulo on Friday.

 

Gibbs-White heating up for Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest midfielder Morgan Gibbs-White is on fire, with six goals in his last six Premier League appearances
Morgan Gibbs-White of Nottingham Forest celebrates after completing his hat-trick during Nottingham Forest’s 4-1 Premier League win over Burnley

Morgan Gibbs-White has found his groove in the final third, notching six goals in his last six Premier League appearances, which is as many as he scored in his previous 28 matches. The English international averages a goal every 101 minutes under head coach Vitor Pereira, which is the best ratio by any Nottingham Forest player with at least two goals under a Premier League manager.

Gibbs-White sparked the Tricky Trees’ 4-1 rally against Burnley, as his second-half hat-trick nullified Zian Flemming’s first-half goal, and Igor Jesus’ stoppage-time goal was the final nail in the coffin. Not too long ago, he also scored the marginal goal against Porto in the second leg of their quarter-finals tie, which sent his team to the Europa League semi-finals.

 

History

Friday marks Sunderland’s first home league match against Nottingham Forest since a 1-0 defeat in September 2017 and first in the Premier League since a 1-1 draw in March 1997. 

Sunderland won 1-0 against Nottingham Forest last September, as Omar Alderete tipped the ball into the net to guide Granit Xhaka’s set-piece, handing then-manager Ange Postecoglou his first home defeat as the Tricky Trees’ boss. At the time, the Black Cats rose to third place after three wins from the first six games.

The Black Cats could become the fourth newly promoted side to complete a Premier League double over the Tricky Trees after Blackburn Rovers and Ipswich Town in 1992-93 and Fulham in 2022-23. Nottingham Forest have lost five of their last six league matches against Sunderland.

 

Betting Tip

The Premier League 2026 odds predict a close fight between Sunderland and Nottingham Forest. However, based on their recent history, Premier League 2026 highlights could be limited on Friday at the Stadium of Light. Because they’re in better recent form, Nottingham Forest have a slim edge at 2.53, while Sunderland are at 2.61, and a draw is tempting at 3.09 in the 1X2 market. Besides our recommended bet, SBOTOP punters may want to add Under 2.50 at 1.73, Under 2.00 at 2.42, and even Total Goal 0-1 at 2.74 to the parlay, as an odd goal could decide the game. Speaking of which, the Correct Score of 1-0 in favour of the Black Cats – the result of their reverse fixture – could yield a handsome payout of 7.50 your bet.

A SHORT EXPLANATION ON HOW OUR (⭐) BETS ARE WORTH:

⭐⭐⭐= €20 (HIGHLY CONFIDENT)

⭐⭐= €10 (CONFIDENT)

⭐= €5 (SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT)

Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

   

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